AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling at 34–38 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–27 percent and the CDU further back, according to recent surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, and Forsa. This positioning three months before the September 20, 2026 election underpins the market's assessment of AfD as the likely plurality winner. The party's strength reflects broader eastern German trends and voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition. Other parties remain fragmented with low single-digit support, reducing prospects for alternative majorities. No major late shifts have altered these patterns in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 82%
SPD 19%
CDU <1%
リンクェ <1%
$276,590 Vol.
$276,590 Vol.

AfD
82%

SPD
19%

CDU
1%

リンクェ
<1%

グリューネ
<1%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
AfD 82%
SPD 19%
CDU <1%
リンクェ <1%
$276,590 Vol.
$276,590 Vol.

AfD
82%

SPD
19%

CDU
1%

リンクェ
<1%

グリューネ
<1%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
マーケット開始日: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling at 34–38 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–27 percent and the CDU further back, according to recent surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, and Forsa. This positioning three months before the September 20, 2026 election underpins the market's assessment of AfD as the likely plurality winner. The party's strength reflects broader eastern German trends and voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition. Other parties remain fragmented with low single-digit support, reducing prospects for alternative majorities. No major late shifts have altered these patterns in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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