Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 88%
SPD 13%
CDU <1%
グリューネ <1%
$211,156 Vol.
$211,156 Vol.
2026/09/20
AfD
88%
SPD
13%
CDU
1%
グリューネ
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
リンクェ
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 88%
SPD 13%
CDU <1%
グリューネ <1%
$211,156 Vol.
$211,156 Vol.
2026/09/20
AfD
$7,054 Vol.
88%
SPD
$35,937 Vol.
13%
CDU
$27,794 Vol.
1%
グリューネ
$52,594 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$48,058 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$11,745 Vol.
<1%
リンクェ
$8,260 Vol.
<1%
FW
$19,714 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$211,156終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
音量
$211,156終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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