Incumbent Republican Troy Downing's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins and forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP nominee. Eastern Montana's voter base, including areas around Billings and Great Falls, has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum for nominee Brian Miller following his June primary win. Upcoming general election dynamics, including turnout patterns and any late-cycle national shifts, represent the main variables that could narrow margins, though structural barriers make a Democratic upset improbable absent major disruptions such as candidate withdrawal or significant scandals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,415 Vol.
$42,415 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$42,415 Vol.
$42,415 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$25,944 Vol.
95%
民主党
$16,471 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins and forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP nominee. Eastern Montana's voter base, including areas around Billings and Great Falls, has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum for nominee Brian Miller following his June primary win. Upcoming general election dynamics, including turnout patterns and any late-cycle national shifts, represent the main variables that could narrow margins, though structural barriers make a Democratic upset improbable absent major disruptions such as candidate withdrawal or significant scandals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$42,415終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins and forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP nominee. Eastern Montana's voter base, including areas around Billings and Great Falls, has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum for nominee Brian Miller following his June primary win. Upcoming general election dynamics, including turnout patterns and any late-cycle national shifts, represent the main variables that could narrow margins, though structural barriers make a Democratic upset improbable absent major disruptions such as candidate withdrawal or significant scandals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,415終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Downing's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins and forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP nominee. Eastern Montana's voter base, including areas around Billings and Great Falls, has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum for nominee Brian Miller following his June primary win. Upcoming general election dynamics, including turnout patterns and any late-cycle national shifts, represent the main variables that could narrow margins, though structural barriers make a Democratic upset improbable absent major disruptions such as candidate withdrawal or significant scandals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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