South Carolina lawmakers' recent push for mid-cycle redistricting of congressional maps has emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment in the SC-06 House race. The proposal targets adjustments to the majority-minority 6th District, potentially shifting its voter composition ahead of the November general election and introducing uncertainty around long-serving incumbent James Clyburn's path to reelection. With Democratic and Republican primaries scheduled for June 9, this legislative development has elevated the implied probability for a Republican winner to 67.5 percent, reflecting market assessment of how new boundaries could expand competitive terrain. Traders are also monitoring primary outcomes between Clyburn and Frederick Goodwin on the Democratic side, alongside the Republican contest featuring John Peterson and Maurice Washington, as these will set the general election matchup amid ongoing map deliberations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,928 Vol.
$15,928 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
68%
民主党
27%
$15,928 Vol.
$15,928 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,915 Vol.
68%
民主党
$7,013 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina lawmakers' recent push for mid-cycle redistricting of congressional maps has emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment in the SC-06 House race. The proposal targets adjustments to the majority-minority 6th District, potentially shifting its voter composition ahead of the November general election and introducing uncertainty around long-serving incumbent James Clyburn's path to reelection. With Democratic and Republican primaries scheduled for June 9, this legislative development has elevated the implied probability for a Republican winner to 67.5 percent, reflecting market assessment of how new boundaries could expand competitive terrain. Traders are also monitoring primary outcomes between Clyburn and Frederick Goodwin on the Democratic side, alongside the Republican contest featuring John Peterson and Maurice Washington, as these will set the general election matchup amid ongoing map deliberations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$15,928終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina lawmakers' recent push for mid-cycle redistricting of congressional maps has emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment in the SC-06 House race. The proposal targets adjustments to the majority-minority 6th District, potentially shifting its voter composition ahead of the November general election and introducing uncertainty around long-serving incumbent James Clyburn's path to reelection. With Democratic and Republican primaries scheduled for June 9, this legislative development has elevated the implied probability for a Republican winner to 67.5 percent, reflecting market assessment of how new boundaries could expand competitive terrain. Traders are also monitoring primary outcomes between Clyburn and Frederick Goodwin on the Democratic side, alongside the Republican contest featuring John Peterson and Maurice Washington, as these will set the general election matchup amid ongoing map deliberations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,928終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina lawmakers' recent push for mid-cycle redistricting of congressional maps has emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment in the SC-06 House race. The proposal targets adjustments to the majority-minority 6th District, potentially shifting its voter composition ahead of the November general election and introducing uncertainty around long-serving incumbent James Clyburn's path to reelection. With Democratic and Republican primaries scheduled for June 9, this legislative development has elevated the implied probability for a Republican winner to 67.5 percent, reflecting market assessment of how new boundaries could expand competitive terrain. Traders are also monitoring primary outcomes between Clyburn and Frederick Goodwin on the Democratic side, alongside the Republican contest featuring John Peterson and Maurice Washington, as these will set the general election matchup amid ongoing map deliberations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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