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icon for スウェーデンの議会選挙:どの政党が議席を獲得しますか?

スウェーデンの議会選挙:どの政党が議席を獲得しますか?

icon for スウェーデンの議会選挙:どの政党が議席を獲得しますか?

スウェーデンの議会選挙:どの政党が議席を獲得しますか?

$2,877 Vol.

2026/09/12
Polymarket

$2,877 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 緑の党(MP)

緑の党(MP)

$398 Vol.

はい

icon for キリスト教民主党(KD)

キリスト教民主党(KD)

$1,271 Vol.

はい

icon for 左翼党(V)

左翼党(V)

$424 Vol.

はい

icon for 中央党(C)

中央党(C)

$785 Vol.

はい

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election produced a narrow centre-left victory and confirmed seats for all eight established parties in the 349-seat Riksdag.** Preliminary counts showed the Social Democrats-led opposition bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Centre Party, Greens) ahead by one seat at 175–174 over the incumbent right-wing grouping (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals backed by the Sweden Democrats). All parties cleared the 4% national threshold, with the Liberals reaching roughly 5.3–5.4% after polling near or below it in earlier surveys. The Social Democrats remained the largest party at about 28%, while the Sweden Democrats fell to around 17.5% (down from 2022). The campaign centred on crime, immigration, the economy, and security, with late tightening of the blocs driven by shifts among undecided voters and stronger-than-expected Liberal performance. Final seat allocation awaits completion of late and overseas ballot counting, expected shortly.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No".

Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No".

Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$2,877
終了日
2026/09/13
マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election produced a narrow centre-left victory and confirmed seats for all eight established parties in the 349-seat Riksdag.** Preliminary counts showed the Social Democrats-led opposition bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Centre Party, Greens) ahead by one seat at 175–174 over the incumbent right-wing grouping (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals backed by the Sweden Democrats). All parties cleared the 4% national threshold, with the Liberals reaching roughly 5.3–5.4% after polling near or below it in earlier surveys. The Social Democrats remained the largest party at about 28%, while the Sweden Democrats fell to around 17.5% (down from 2022). The campaign centred on crime, immigration, the economy, and security, with late tightening of the blocs driven by shifts among undecided voters and stronger-than-expected Liberal performance. Final seat allocation awaits completion of late and overseas ballot counting, expected shortly.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No".

Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No".

Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$2,877
終了日
2026/09/13
マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「スウェーデンの議会選挙:どの政党が議席を獲得しますか?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「緑の党(MP)」で100%、次いで「キリスト教民主党(KD)」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「スウェーデンの議会選挙:どの政党が議席を獲得しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 7, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「スウェーデンの議会選挙:どの政党が議席を獲得しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「スウェーデンの議会選挙:どの政党が議席を獲得しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「緑の党(MP)」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「キリスト教民主党(KD)」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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