Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's dominant fundraising—$4.8 million cash on hand as of late March—over minimal Republican challengers like Tuka Gafari and Peter Verbica anchors trader consensus in solidly Democratic CA-19 (Cook PVI D+18), where he won prior generals by 38-point margins. Recent local media spotlights on seven primary candidates, including Democrat Sean Dougherty, highlight no credible threats emerging ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing Safe Democratic ratings from Sabato and others. While a GOP primary upset securing second place could test the November 3 general, odds exceeding 90% reflect historical incumbency advantages in deep-blue districts, barring scandals, health issues, or national waves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,790 거래량
$26,790 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
5%
$26,790 거래량
$26,790 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$16,565 거래량
93%
공화당
$10,226 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's dominant fundraising—$4.8 million cash on hand as of late March—over minimal Republican challengers like Tuka Gafari and Peter Verbica anchors trader consensus in solidly Democratic CA-19 (Cook PVI D+18), where he won prior generals by 38-point margins. Recent local media spotlights on seven primary candidates, including Democrat Sean Dougherty, highlight no credible threats emerging ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing Safe Democratic ratings from Sabato and others. While a GOP primary upset securing second place could test the November 3 general, odds exceeding 90% reflect historical incumbency advantages in deep-blue districts, barring scandals, health issues, or national waves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$26,790종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's dominant fundraising—$4.8 million cash on hand as of late March—over minimal Republican challengers like Tuka Gafari and Peter Verbica anchors trader consensus in solidly Democratic CA-19 (Cook PVI D+18), where he won prior generals by 38-point margins. Recent local media spotlights on seven primary candidates, including Democrat Sean Dougherty, highlight no credible threats emerging ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing Safe Democratic ratings from Sabato and others. While a GOP primary upset securing second place could test the November 3 general, odds exceeding 90% reflect historical incumbency advantages in deep-blue districts, barring scandals, health issues, or national waves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,790종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's dominant fundraising—$4.8 million cash on hand as of late March—over minimal Republican challengers like Tuka Gafari and Peter Verbica anchors trader consensus in solidly Democratic CA-19 (Cook PVI D+18), where he won prior generals by 38-point margins. Recent local media spotlights on seven primary candidates, including Democrat Sean Dougherty, highlight no credible threats emerging ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing Safe Democratic ratings from Sabato and others. While a GOP primary upset securing second place could test the November 3 general, odds exceeding 90% reflect historical incumbency advantages in deep-blue districts, barring scandals, health issues, or national waves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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