Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Peter Verbica to the November general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the Central Coast district as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge, past election margins, and alignment with statewide trends favoring Democrats in coastal California seats. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions. A realistic shift would require events such as a late scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that overrides the district’s established patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트CA-19 House Election Winner
CA-19 House Election Winner
$38,776 거래량
$38,776 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$38,776 거래량
$38,776 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$26,469 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$12,307 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Peter Verbica to the November general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the Central Coast district as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge, past election margins, and alignment with statewide trends favoring Democrats in coastal California seats. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions. A realistic shift would require events such as a late scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that overrides the district’s established patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$38,776종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Peter Verbica to the November general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the Central Coast district as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge, past election margins, and alignment with statewide trends favoring Democrats in coastal California seats. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions. A realistic shift would require events such as a late scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that overrides the district’s established patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$38,776종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Peter Verbica to the November general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the Central Coast district as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge, past election margins, and alignment with statewide trends favoring Democrats in coastal California seats. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions. A realistic shift would require events such as a late scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that overrides the district’s established patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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