Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's re-election bid in Florida's 21st congressional district anchors the 85% trader consensus for a Republican hold, following the state legislature's approval of a new map that strengthens GOP advantages statewide and rates the seat Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Mast's prior 61.8% victory margin, R+7 partisan voting index, and committee leadership provide structural stability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic candidates remain divided in their August 18 primary with limited polling or fundraising momentum to challenge the district's established partisan lean, while no major national shifts or local scandals have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,041 거래량
85%
Democratic Party
$2,791 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's re-election bid in Florida's 21st congressional district anchors the 85% trader consensus for a Republican hold, following the state legislature's approval of a new map that strengthens GOP advantages statewide and rates the seat Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Mast's prior 61.8% victory margin, R+7 partisan voting index, and committee leadership provide structural stability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic candidates remain divided in their August 18 primary with limited polling or fundraising momentum to challenge the district's established partisan lean, while no major national shifts or local scandals have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$6,832종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's re-election bid in Florida's 21st congressional district anchors the 85% trader consensus for a Republican hold, following the state legislature's approval of a new map that strengthens GOP advantages statewide and rates the seat Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Mast's prior 61.8% victory margin, R+7 partisan voting index, and committee leadership provide structural stability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic candidates remain divided in their August 18 primary with limited polling or fundraising momentum to challenge the district's established partisan lean, while no major national shifts or local scandals have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,832종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's re-election bid in Florida's 21st congressional district anchors the 85% trader consensus for a Republican hold, following the state legislature's approval of a new map that strengthens GOP advantages statewide and rates the seat Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Mast's prior 61.8% victory margin, R+7 partisan voting index, and committee leadership provide structural stability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic candidates remain divided in their August 18 primary with limited polling or fundraising momentum to challenge the district's established partisan lean, while no major national shifts or local scandals have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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