Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C or higher (99.6% implied probability) for Mexico City's highest temperature on May 15, backed by authoritative forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime highs of 25–27°C amid clear skies and stable high-pressure dominance in the late dry season. Climatological data reinforces this, with May average maximums at 26°C and historical lows rarely dipping below 23°C at the 2,240-meter elevation of Benito Juárez International Airport station, which resolves such markets. Scenarios challenging this include an anomalous cold front or persistent overcast suppressing solar heating—improbable given current atmospheric patterns—but traders await SMN's final hourly observations tomorrow for confirmation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
19°C or higher 99.6%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
13°C <1%
신규
$15,715 거래량
신규
$15,715 거래량
2026.05.15
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
100%
19°C or higher 99.6%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
13°C <1%
신규
$15,715 거래량
신규
$15,715 거래량
2026.05.15
9°C or below
$1,664 거래량
<1%
10°C
$1,001 거래량
<1%
11°C
$1,154 거래량
<1%
12°C
$1,434 거래량
<1%
13°C
$1,325 거래량
<1%
14°C
$1,215 거래량
<1%
15°C
$874 거래량
<1%
16°C
$864 거래량
<1%
17°C
$1,642 거래량
<1%
18°C
$2,434 거래량
<1%
19°C or higher
$2,107 거래량
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C or higher (99.6% implied probability) for Mexico City's highest temperature on May 15, backed by authoritative forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime highs of 25–27°C amid clear skies and stable high-pressure dominance in the late dry season. Climatological data reinforces this, with May average maximums at 26°C and historical lows rarely dipping below 23°C at the 2,240-meter elevation of Benito Juárez International Airport station, which resolves such markets. Scenarios challenging this include an anomalous cold front or persistent overcast suppressing solar heating—improbable given current atmospheric patterns—but traders await SMN's final hourly observations tomorrow for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
거래량
$15,715종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C or higher (99.6% implied probability) for Mexico City's highest temperature on May 15, backed by authoritative forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime highs of 25–27°C amid clear skies and stable high-pressure dominance in the late dry season. Climatological data reinforces this, with May average maximums at 26°C and historical lows rarely dipping below 23°C at the 2,240-meter elevation of Benito Juárez International Airport station, which resolves such markets. Scenarios challenging this include an anomalous cold front or persistent overcast suppressing solar heating—improbable given current atmospheric patterns—but traders await SMN's final hourly observations tomorrow for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$15,715종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C or higher (99.6% implied probability) for Mexico City's highest temperature on May 15, backed by authoritative forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime highs of 25–27°C amid clear skies and stable high-pressure dominance in the late dry season. Climatological data reinforces this, with May average maximums at 26°C and historical lows rarely dipping below 23°C at the 2,240-meter elevation of Benito Juárez International Airport station, which resolves such markets. Scenarios challenging this include an anomalous cold front or persistent overcast suppressing solar heating—improbable given current atmospheric patterns—but traders await SMN's final hourly observations tomorrow for confirmation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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