Incumbent Sharice Davids anchors Democratic advantages in Kansas’s Third Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and historical margins that have held in the low double digits. Davids’ consistent reelection record, combined with early 2026 fundraising totals exceeding $600,000 in the first quarter, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. On the Republican side, the August 4 primary features lesser-known candidates such as Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley, offering limited immediate threat to the status quo. These structural and candidate factors explain the current 88.5 percent implied probability assigned to a Democratic victory by market participants.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,298 거래량
$12,298 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
13%
$12,298 거래량
$12,298 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,893 거래량
89%
Republican Party
$9,406 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids anchors Democratic advantages in Kansas’s Third Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and historical margins that have held in the low double digits. Davids’ consistent reelection record, combined with early 2026 fundraising totals exceeding $600,000 in the first quarter, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. On the Republican side, the August 4 primary features lesser-known candidates such as Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley, offering limited immediate threat to the status quo. These structural and candidate factors explain the current 88.5 percent implied probability assigned to a Democratic victory by market participants.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$12,298종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids anchors Democratic advantages in Kansas’s Third Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and historical margins that have held in the low double digits. Davids’ consistent reelection record, combined with early 2026 fundraising totals exceeding $600,000 in the first quarter, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. On the Republican side, the August 4 primary features lesser-known candidates such as Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley, offering limited immediate threat to the status quo. These structural and candidate factors explain the current 88.5 percent implied probability assigned to a Democratic victory by market participants.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,298종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sharice Davids anchors Democratic advantages in Kansas’s Third Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and historical margins that have held in the low double digits. Davids’ consistent reelection record, combined with early 2026 fundraising totals exceeding $600,000 in the first quarter, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. On the Republican side, the August 4 primary features lesser-known candidates such as Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley, offering limited immediate threat to the status quo. These structural and candidate factors explain the current 88.5 percent implied probability assigned to a Democratic victory by market participants.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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