Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a timeline for nuclear restrictions have supported a 60.5 percent trader consensus on reaching a formal agreement before 2027. Recent reports indicate both sides are close to finalizing this preliminary framework, which would launch 30 days of detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits, IAEA inspections, and sanctions relief. Persistent gaps remain, including the length of any enrichment moratorium and verification mechanisms, yet the resumption of talks in early 2026 following protests and military actions has sustained diplomatic momentum. Upcoming developments, such as further mediation sessions, could narrow these differences or reveal barriers that affect resolution before the end of 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,330,671 거래량
$1,330,671 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$1,330,671 거래량
$1,330,671 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a timeline for nuclear restrictions have supported a 60.5 percent trader consensus on reaching a formal agreement before 2027. Recent reports indicate both sides are close to finalizing this preliminary framework, which would launch 30 days of detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits, IAEA inspections, and sanctions relief. Persistent gaps remain, including the length of any enrichment moratorium and verification mechanisms, yet the resumption of talks in early 2026 following protests and military actions has sustained diplomatic momentum. Upcoming developments, such as further mediation sessions, could narrow these differences or reveal barriers that affect resolution before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
거래량
$1,330,671종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a timeline for nuclear restrictions have supported a 60.5 percent trader consensus on reaching a formal agreement before 2027. Recent reports indicate both sides are close to finalizing this preliminary framework, which would launch 30 days of detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits, IAEA inspections, and sanctions relief. Persistent gaps remain, including the length of any enrichment moratorium and verification mechanisms, yet the resumption of talks in early 2026 following protests and military actions has sustained diplomatic momentum. Upcoming developments, such as further mediation sessions, could narrow these differences or reveal barriers that affect resolution before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$1,330,671종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a timeline for nuclear restrictions have supported a 60.5 percent trader consensus on reaching a formal agreement before 2027. Recent reports indicate both sides are close to finalizing this preliminary framework, which would launch 30 days of detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits, IAEA inspections, and sanctions relief. Persistent gaps remain, including the length of any enrichment moratorium and verification mechanisms, yet the resumption of talks in early 2026 following protests and military actions has sustained diplomatic momentum. Upcoming developments, such as further mediation sessions, could narrow these differences or reveal barriers that affect resolution before the end of 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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