Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, reflecting sustained public dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and its spillover effects on energy prices and household costs. The U.S.-led military actions that began in late February have driven gasoline prices higher and prompted widespread perceptions that the operation lacks clear objectives, eroding support even among some Republicans. Economic sentiment remains a key drag, with approval on inflation and the broader economy reaching multi-year lows in multiple surveys. The November 2026 midterm elections now loom as a potential catalyst, with outcomes likely to hinge on whether the conflict de-escalates, gas prices moderate, or new legislative initiatives gain traction before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
↑ 44%
10%
↑ 45%
9%
↑ 46%
14%
↑ 47%
41%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
10%
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3%
$4,837 Vol.
↑ 44%
10%
↑ 45%
9%
↑ 46%
14%
↑ 47%
41%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
10%
↑ 50%
3%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, reflecting sustained public dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and its spillover effects on energy prices and household costs. The U.S.-led military actions that began in late February have driven gasoline prices higher and prompted widespread perceptions that the operation lacks clear objectives, eroding support even among some Republicans. Economic sentiment remains a key drag, with approval on inflation and the broader economy reaching multi-year lows in multiple surveys. The November 2026 midterm elections now loom as a potential catalyst, with outcomes likely to hinge on whether the conflict de-escalates, gas prices moderate, or new legislative initiatives gain traction before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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