Current National Weather Service forecast models indicate daytime highs in Houston will reach the upper 80s or higher on May 15, supported by persistent southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-spring patterns in southeast Texas. Climatological records show mid-May average highs near 85°F, with recent surface observations aligning with seasonal warming and no significant frontal passages expected. This consensus from official guidance drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 86°F or above. An unforecasted cold front or widespread cloud cover and heavy rain could reduce maximum temperatures, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the observation window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on May 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 15?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$18,230 Wol.
$18,230 Wol.
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$18,230 Wol.
$18,230 Wol.
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
$1,186 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$1,303 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$1,298 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$1,499 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$1,911 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$1,037 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$1,004 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$1,047 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$1,752 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$3,839 Wol.
No
86°F or higher
$2,354 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecast models indicate daytime highs in Houston will reach the upper 80s or higher on May 15, supported by persistent southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-spring patterns in southeast Texas. Climatological records show mid-May average highs near 85°F, with recent surface observations aligning with seasonal warming and no significant frontal passages expected. This consensus from official guidance drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 86°F or above. An unforecasted cold front or widespread cloud cover and heavy rain could reduce maximum temperatures, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,230Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecast models indicate daytime highs in Houston will reach the upper 80s or higher on May 15, supported by persistent southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-spring patterns in southeast Texas. Climatological records show mid-May average highs near 85°F, with recent surface observations aligning with seasonal warming and no significant frontal passages expected. This consensus from official guidance drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 86°F or above. An unforecasted cold front or widespread cloud cover and heavy rain could reduce maximum temperatures, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$18,230Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current National Weather Service forecast models indicate daytime highs in Houston will reach the upper 80s or higher on May 15, supported by persistent southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-spring patterns in southeast Texas. Climatological records show mid-May average highs near 85°F, with recent surface observations aligning with seasonal warming and no significant frontal passages expected. This consensus from official guidance drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 86°F or above. An unforecasted cold front or widespread cloud cover and heavy rain could reduce maximum temperatures, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the observation window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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