Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to partly cloudy conditions over Miami on May 17 with daytime highs expected near the upper 80s, driving the near-even market split between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets. Sea-breeze convergence and light easterly flow typical of mid-May are limiting rapid afternoon heating while keeping humidity elevated, which supports the modest probability mass in the 84–85 °F and 90–91 °F ranges. Long-term climatology shows average May highs of 85–86 °F at Miami International Airport, so traders are weighting the forecast’s modest positive departure against the possibility of slightly stronger onshore flow or delayed sea-breeze onset. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on May 17?
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 37%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 7.2%
$19,461 Wol.
$19,461 Wol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 37%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 7.2%
$19,461 Wol.
$19,461 Wol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent National Weather Service and model guidance point to partly cloudy conditions over Miami on May 17 with daytime highs expected near the upper 80s, driving the near-even market split between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets. Sea-breeze convergence and light easterly flow typical of mid-May are limiting rapid afternoon heating while keeping humidity elevated, which supports the modest probability mass in the 84–85 °F and 90–91 °F ranges. Long-term climatology shows average May highs of 85–86 °F at Miami International Airport, so traders are weighting the forecast’s modest positive departure against the possibility of slightly stronger onshore flow or delayed sea-breeze onset. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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