Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF runs updated within the past 24 hours, points to a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C for Munich under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northwesterly flow. These temperatures align closely with mid-May climatological normals of 16–18 °C while reflecting a slight cool anomaly from lingering Atlantic moisture. Trader positioning at 49 % for 16 °C and 28.5 % for 15 °C incorporates both the central forecast track and ensemble spread that keeps adjacent values competitive until final observations at 18:00 UTC. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky intensification is expected before the daily peak window closes, keeping the probability-weighted range tightly clustered around these two outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 48%
15°C 29%
17°C 17%
14°C 3.9%
NOWE
$14,552 Wol.
NOWE
$14,552 Wol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
29%
16°C
48%
17°C
17%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 48%
15°C 29%
17°C 17%
14°C 3.9%
NOWE
$14,552 Wol.
NOWE
$14,552 Wol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
$562 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$944 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$2,013 Wol.
1%
14°C
$1,261 Wol.
4%
15°C
$1,942 Wol.
29%
16°C
$1,610 Wol.
48%
17°C
$1,535 Wol.
17%
18°C
$1,039 Wol.
4%
19°C
$1,018 Wol.
1%
20°C
$962 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,711 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF runs updated within the past 24 hours, points to a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C for Munich under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northwesterly flow. These temperatures align closely with mid-May climatological normals of 16–18 °C while reflecting a slight cool anomaly from lingering Atlantic moisture. Trader positioning at 49 % for 16 °C and 28.5 % for 15 °C incorporates both the central forecast track and ensemble spread that keeps adjacent values competitive until final observations at 18:00 UTC. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky intensification is expected before the daily peak window closes, keeping the probability-weighted range tightly clustered around these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,552Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF runs updated within the past 24 hours, points to a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C for Munich under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northwesterly flow. These temperatures align closely with mid-May climatological normals of 16–18 °C while reflecting a slight cool anomaly from lingering Atlantic moisture. Trader positioning at 49 % for 16 °C and 28.5 % for 15 °C incorporates both the central forecast track and ensemble spread that keeps adjacent values competitive until final observations at 18:00 UTC. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky intensification is expected before the daily peak window closes, keeping the probability-weighted range tightly clustered around these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$14,552Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent European model consensus, including ECMWF runs updated within the past 24 hours, points to a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C for Munich under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northwesterly flow. These temperatures align closely with mid-May climatological normals of 16–18 °C while reflecting a slight cool anomaly from lingering Atlantic moisture. Trader positioning at 49 % for 16 °C and 28.5 % for 15 °C incorporates both the central forecast track and ensemble spread that keeps adjacent values competitive until final observations at 18:00 UTC. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky intensification is expected before the daily peak window closes, keeping the probability-weighted range tightly clustered around these two outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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