Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a mostly cloudy spring day in Paris with light winds and limited solar heating, positioning a daily high near 16°C as the most probable outcome. Persistent cloud cover from an unstable Atlantic flow has suppressed daytime warming compared to seasonal norms around 19°C, keeping maximum temperatures in the mid-teens according to the latest guidance. Traders appear to weigh this consensus alongside minor model spread that could allow brief clearing and a push toward 17°C or hold it at 15°C. Official observations from central Paris stations, reported after the close of the 24-hour period, will resolve the market, with any last-hour warming or cooling directly influencing final readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 50%
15°C 36%
17°C 14%
14°C 3.4%
$53,712 Wol.
$53,712 Wol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
36%
16°C
50%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 50%
15°C 36%
17°C 14%
14°C 3.4%
$53,712 Wol.
$53,712 Wol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
36%
16°C
50%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a mostly cloudy spring day in Paris with light winds and limited solar heating, positioning a daily high near 16°C as the most probable outcome. Persistent cloud cover from an unstable Atlantic flow has suppressed daytime warming compared to seasonal norms around 19°C, keeping maximum temperatures in the mid-teens according to the latest guidance. Traders appear to weigh this consensus alongside minor model spread that could allow brief clearing and a push toward 17°C or hold it at 15°C. Official observations from central Paris stations, reported after the close of the 24-hour period, will resolve the market, with any last-hour warming or cooling directly influencing final readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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