Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 16?
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$86,909 Wol.
$86,909 Wol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$86,909 Wol.
$86,909 Wol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$4,478 Wol.
No
20°C
$5,143 Wol.
No
21°C
$7,674 Wol.
No
22°C
$7,527 Wol.
No
23°C
$6,791 Wol.
No
24°C
$7,231 Wol.
No
25°C
$10,621 Wol.
No
26°C
$9,699 Wol.
No
27°C
$8,326 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$8,398 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$11,022 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$86,909Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$86,909Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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