Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models place Tel Aviv’s May 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Typical May coastal climatology features diurnal warming under subtropical high pressure, tempered by a strengthening sea breeze that often caps afternoon peaks; slight differences in model runs hinge on wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs for mid-May show daily highs averaging 26–28 °C, so any modest suppression of the marine layer or reduced onshore flow could push readings to 31 °C while persistent sea-breeze cooling would favor 28 °C or lower. Traders are therefore watching the next 12–18 hours of updated guidance and real-time observations for the final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
29°C 35%
30°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
35%
30°C
29%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 35%
30°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$859 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$425 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$255 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$162 Wol.
1%
26°C
$141 Wol.
1%
27°C
$193 Wol.
3%
28°C
$492 Wol.
9%
29°C
$425 Wol.
35%
30°C
$572 Wol.
29%
31°C
$285 Wol.
20%
32°C or higher
$452 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models place Tel Aviv’s May 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Typical May coastal climatology features diurnal warming under subtropical high pressure, tempered by a strengthening sea breeze that often caps afternoon peaks; slight differences in model runs hinge on wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs for mid-May show daily highs averaging 26–28 °C, so any modest suppression of the marine layer or reduced onshore flow could push readings to 31 °C while persistent sea-breeze cooling would favor 28 °C or lower. Traders are therefore watching the next 12–18 hours of updated guidance and real-time observations for the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,250Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models place Tel Aviv’s May 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Typical May coastal climatology features diurnal warming under subtropical high pressure, tempered by a strengthening sea breeze that often caps afternoon peaks; slight differences in model runs hinge on wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs for mid-May show daily highs averaging 26–28 °C, so any modest suppression of the marine layer or reduced onshore flow could push readings to 31 °C while persistent sea-breeze cooling would favor 28 °C or lower. Traders are therefore watching the next 12–18 hours of updated guidance and real-time observations for the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$4,250Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models place Tel Aviv’s May 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Typical May coastal climatology features diurnal warming under subtropical high pressure, tempered by a strengthening sea breeze that often caps afternoon peaks; slight differences in model runs hinge on wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs for mid-May show daily highs averaging 26–28 °C, so any modest suppression of the marine layer or reduced onshore flow could push readings to 31 °C while persistent sea-breeze cooling would favor 28 °C or lower. Traders are therefore watching the next 12–18 hours of updated guidance and real-time observations for the final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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