Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes, each near 27–29 percent. Historical May averages at the site run 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure above the climatological baseline. Minor shifts in ridge strength or timing of any late-day cloud cover could still nudge the official high across the 29–30 °C threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
30°C or higher 23%
27°C 15%
NOWE
$40,183 Wol.
NOWE
$40,183 Wol.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C
32%
30°C or higher
23%
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
30°C or higher 23%
27°C 15%
NOWE
$40,183 Wol.
NOWE
$40,183 Wol.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$2,924 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,793 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$819 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$5,184 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$6,769 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$5,266 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$5,247 Wol.
3%
27°C
$3,156 Wol.
15%
28°C
$2,991 Wol.
30%
29°C
$2,510 Wol.
32%
30°C or higher
$3,623 Wol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes, each near 27–29 percent. Historical May averages at the site run 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure above the climatological baseline. Minor shifts in ridge strength or timing of any late-day cloud cover could still nudge the official high across the 29–30 °C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,183Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes, each near 27–29 percent. Historical May averages at the site run 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure above the climatological baseline. Minor shifts in ridge strength or timing of any late-day cloud cover could still nudge the official high across the 29–30 °C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$40,183Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes, each near 27–29 percent. Historical May averages at the site run 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure above the climatological baseline. Minor shifts in ridge strength or timing of any late-day cloud cover could still nudge the official high across the 29–30 °C threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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