Current MetService and ensemble model forecasts position a daytime maximum of 14°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on May 17, reflecting stable mid-autumn synoptic conditions across New Zealand’s lower North Island. Moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and limited solar insolation align temperatures with the long-term May average high, while official observations from primary stations will determine the precise peak under standard resolution criteria. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong consensus around this threshold. A late shift to clearer skies or a brief northerly flow could allow readings to edge toward 15°C, though model consensus assigns low probability to such changes before the afternoon peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 Wol.
$53,840 Wol.
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 Wol.
$53,840 Wol.
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
$4,661 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$2,840 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$2,362 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$4,007 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$2,263 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$7,921 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$7,792 Wol.
100%
15°C
$4,620 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$8,352 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$4,197 Wol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$4,824 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current MetService and ensemble model forecasts position a daytime maximum of 14°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on May 17, reflecting stable mid-autumn synoptic conditions across New Zealand’s lower North Island. Moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and limited solar insolation align temperatures with the long-term May average high, while official observations from primary stations will determine the precise peak under standard resolution criteria. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong consensus around this threshold. A late shift to clearer skies or a brief northerly flow could allow readings to edge toward 15°C, though model consensus assigns low probability to such changes before the afternoon peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,840Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current MetService and ensemble model forecasts position a daytime maximum of 14°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on May 17, reflecting stable mid-autumn synoptic conditions across New Zealand’s lower North Island. Moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and limited solar insolation align temperatures with the long-term May average high, while official observations from primary stations will determine the precise peak under standard resolution criteria. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong consensus around this threshold. A late shift to clearer skies or a brief northerly flow could allow readings to edge toward 15°C, though model consensus assigns low probability to such changes before the afternoon peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$53,840Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNCurrent MetService and ensemble model forecasts position a daytime maximum of 14°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on May 17, reflecting stable mid-autumn synoptic conditions across New Zealand’s lower North Island. Moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and limited solar insolation align temperatures with the long-term May average high, while official observations from primary stations will determine the precise peak under standard resolution criteria. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong consensus around this threshold. A late shift to clearer skies or a brief northerly flow could allow readings to edge toward 15°C, though model consensus assigns low probability to such changes before the afternoon peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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