The 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race remains fragmented with no candidate holding a decisive edge in trader pricing, as an incumbent from the PP faces multiple challengers including figures from the PT and Novo amid the early official campaign period. Recent August polling averages show Eduardo Riedel leading first-round intentions near 44-46% with a runoff advantage, yet Fábio Trad and others register notable support while additional names fragment the field further. This structure sustains dispersed probabilities, as traders weigh incumbency effects, coalition-building potential, and turnout dynamics in a state election scheduled for October. Upcoming street-level campaigning and any shifts in alliances or polling could consolidate support and alter implied probabilities before the first-round vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEconomista Renato Gomes 41%
João Henrique Catan 41%
Fábio Trad 40%
Eduardo Riedel 39%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Economista Renato Gomes
41%
João Henrique Catan
41%
Fábio Trad
40%
Eduardo Riedel
39%
Daniel Lemes
39%
Delcidio Amaral
38%
Jeferson Bezerra
38%
Lucien Rezende
38%
Economista Renato Gomes 41%
João Henrique Catan 41%
Fábio Trad 40%
Eduardo Riedel 39%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Economista Renato Gomes
$0 Vol.
41%
João Henrique Catan
$0 Vol.
41%
Fábio Trad
$0 Vol.
40%
Eduardo Riedel
$0 Vol.
39%
Daniel Lemes
$0 Vol.
39%
Delcidio Amaral
$0 Vol.
38%
Jeferson Bezerra
$0 Vol.
38%
Lucien Rezende
$0 Vol.
38%
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race remains fragmented with no candidate holding a decisive edge in trader pricing, as an incumbent from the PP faces multiple challengers including figures from the PT and Novo amid the early official campaign period. Recent August polling averages show Eduardo Riedel leading first-round intentions near 44-46% with a runoff advantage, yet Fábio Trad and others register notable support while additional names fragment the field further. This structure sustains dispersed probabilities, as traders weigh incumbency effects, coalition-building potential, and turnout dynamics in a state election scheduled for October. Upcoming street-level campaigning and any shifts in alliances or polling could consolidate support and alter implied probabilities before the first-round vote.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race remains fragmented with no candidate holding a decisive edge in trader pricing, as an incumbent from the PP faces multiple challengers including figures from the PT and Novo amid the early official campaign period. Recent August polling averages show Eduardo Riedel leading first-round intentions near 44-46% with a runoff advantage, yet Fábio Trad and others register notable support while additional names fragment the field further. This structure sustains dispersed probabilities, as traders weigh incumbency effects, coalition-building potential, and turnout dynamics in a state election scheduled for October. Upcoming street-level campaigning and any shifts in alliances or polling could consolidate support and alter implied probabilities before the first-round vote.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race remains fragmented with no candidate holding a decisive edge in trader pricing, as an incumbent from the PP faces multiple challengers including figures from the PT and Novo amid the early official campaign period. Recent August polling averages show Eduardo Riedel leading first-round intentions near 44-46% with a runoff advantage, yet Fábio Trad and others register notable support while additional names fragment the field further. This structure sustains dispersed probabilities, as traders weigh incumbency effects, coalition-building potential, and turnout dynamics in a state election scheduled for October. Upcoming street-level campaigning and any shifts in alliances or polling could consolidate support and alter implied probabilities before the first-round vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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