Ciro Gomes maintains a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas placing him at 47% and Elmano de Freitas at around 40% in first-round scenarios, while Real Time Big Data shows a tighter or reversed margin. The narrowing gap from earlier double-digit advantages reflects Elmano’s consolidation among PT-aligned voters and incremental gains in approval for his administration. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support, leaving the contest effectively between the PSDB ex-governor and the incumbent PT governor. Trader pricing at 58.5% for Ciro and 41.5% for Elmano aligns with this polling consensus and the short remaining campaign window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 59%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$249,637 Объем
$249,637 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ciro Gomes
59%
Elmano de Freitas
42%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Камилу Сантана
<1%
Ciro Gomes 59%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$249,637 Объем
$249,637 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ciro Gomes
$116,263 Объем
59%
Elmano de Freitas
$62,494 Объем
42%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Объем
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Объем
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Объем
<1%
Камилу Сантана
$16,424 Объем
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes maintains a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas placing him at 47% and Elmano de Freitas at around 40% in first-round scenarios, while Real Time Big Data shows a tighter or reversed margin. The narrowing gap from earlier double-digit advantages reflects Elmano’s consolidation among PT-aligned voters and incremental gains in approval for his administration. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support, leaving the contest effectively between the PSDB ex-governor and the incumbent PT governor. Trader pricing at 58.5% for Ciro and 41.5% for Elmano aligns with this polling consensus and the short remaining campaign window.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Объем
$249,637Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes maintains a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas placing him at 47% and Elmano de Freitas at around 40% in first-round scenarios, while Real Time Big Data shows a tighter or reversed margin. The narrowing gap from earlier double-digit advantages reflects Elmano’s consolidation among PT-aligned voters and incremental gains in approval for his administration. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support, leaving the contest effectively between the PSDB ex-governor and the incumbent PT governor. Trader pricing at 58.5% for Ciro and 41.5% for Elmano aligns with this polling consensus and the short remaining campaign window.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$249,637Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes maintains a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas placing him at 47% and Elmano de Freitas at around 40% in first-round scenarios, while Real Time Big Data shows a tighter or reversed margin. The narrowing gap from earlier double-digit advantages reflects Elmano’s consolidation among PT-aligned voters and incremental gains in approval for his administration. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support, leaving the contest effectively between the PSDB ex-governor and the incumbent PT governor. Trader pricing at 58.5% for Ciro and 41.5% for Elmano aligns with this polling consensus and the short remaining campaign window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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