Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin with moderate humidity, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure influence that limits rapid warming or cooling. This positions 29°C as the market frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 22.5%, while the broad distribution across 27–30°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and subtle steering flow variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning, with final resolution depending on official station observations rather than model outputs alone.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 17 мая?
29°C 32%
28°C 20%
27°C 16%
30°C 14%
$15,788 Объем
$15,788 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
20%
29°C
32%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 20%
27°C 16%
30°C 14%
$15,788 Объем
$15,788 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
20%
29°C
32%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin with moderate humidity, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure influence that limits rapid warming or cooling. This positions 29°C as the market frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 22.5%, while the broad distribution across 27–30°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and subtle steering flow variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning, with final resolution depending on official station observations rather than model outputs alone.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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