Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 15 мая?
30°C или выше 100.0%
20°C или ниже <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,603 Объем
$29,603 Объем
20°C или ниже
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C или выше
Да
30°C или выше 100.0%
20°C или ниже <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,603 Объем
$29,603 Объем
20°C или ниже
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C или выше
Да
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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