The Russian State Duma election took place September 18–20, 2026, under a mixed system of 225 party-list seats and 225 single-member districts. Early results show the Communist Party (KPRF) receiving roughly 13.8–14% of the party-list vote, consistent with pre-election polling from VTsIOM and FOM and well below its 2021 share. United Russia leads with approximately 57% support and dominates most single-member constituencies through administrative resources and candidate placement advantages. KPRF, as the largest systemic opposition party, faces documented regional interference, candidate restrictions, and competition from other Kremlin-aligned lists that fragment the remaining vote. These dynamics produce trader consensus around fewer than 50 seats for KPRF. A substantially higher total would require either a sharp, undetected rise in protest voting or major shifts in district outcomes that current verified tallies do not indicate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<50 96.8%
50–59 2.1%
100+ 1.4%
70–79 1.4%
$19,447 Объем
$19,447 Объем
<50
97%
50–59
2%
60–69
1%
70–79
1%
80–89
1%
90–99
1%
100+
1%
<50 96.8%
50–59 2.1%
100+ 1.4%
70–79 1.4%
$19,447 Объем
$19,447 Объем
<50
97%
50–59
2%
60–69
1%
70–79
1%
80–89
1%
90–99
1%
100+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Russian State Duma election took place September 18–20, 2026, under a mixed system of 225 party-list seats and 225 single-member districts. Early results show the Communist Party (KPRF) receiving roughly 13.8–14% of the party-list vote, consistent with pre-election polling from VTsIOM and FOM and well below its 2021 share. United Russia leads with approximately 57% support and dominates most single-member constituencies through administrative resources and candidate placement advantages. KPRF, as the largest systemic opposition party, faces documented regional interference, candidate restrictions, and competition from other Kremlin-aligned lists that fragment the remaining vote. These dynamics produce trader consensus around fewer than 50 seats for KPRF. A substantially higher total would require either a sharp, undetected rise in protest voting or major shifts in district outcomes that current verified tallies do not indicate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Получит ли ЛДПР (Либерально-демократическая партия России) менее 45 мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу России?
Получит ли «Единая Россия» от 340 до 354 мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу России?
Получат ли "Новые люди" (НЛ) менее 35 мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу России?
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