Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 14 мая?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 14 мая?
8°C 100.0%
1°C или ниже <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$11,526 Объем
$11,526 Объем
1°C или ниже
Нет
2°C
Нет
3°C
Нет
4°C
Нет
5°C
Нет
6°C
Нет
7°C
Нет
8°C
Да
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C или выше
Нет
8°C 100.0%
1°C или ниже <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$11,526 Объем
$11,526 Объем
1°C или ниже
Нет
2°C
Нет
3°C
Нет
4°C
Нет
5°C
Нет
6°C
Нет
7°C
Нет
8°C
Да
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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