Ongoing military tensions and naval restrictions in the Persian Gulf have sharply curtailed commercial vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026. Shipping data shows daily transits frequently in the single digits or lower, down from a pre-conflict average exceeding 100 vessels, due to Iranian warnings, U.S. interception efforts, and widespread rerouting by carriers. Recent naval skirmishes and blockades have further discouraged passages, with only limited numbers of cargo ships, tankers, and other vessels recorded in early May. This sustained reduction in maritime traffic underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the lowest volume range for the end of the month, though any verified de-escalation or corridor agreement could alter the trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
0-10 87%
10-20 6%
20-40 3.5%
60+ 3.0%
$319,847 ปริมาณ
$319,847 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
0-10
87%
10-20
6%
20-40
3%
40-60
2%
60+
3%
0-10 87%
10-20 6%
20-40 3.5%
60+ 3.0%
$319,847 ปริมาณ
$319,847 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
0-10
$170,832 ปริมาณ
87%
10-20
$42,858 ปริมาณ
6%
20-40
$34,031 ปริมาณ
3%
40-60
$27,429 ปริมาณ
2%
60+
$44,698 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing military tensions and naval restrictions in the Persian Gulf have sharply curtailed commercial vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026. Shipping data shows daily transits frequently in the single digits or lower, down from a pre-conflict average exceeding 100 vessels, due to Iranian warnings, U.S. interception efforts, and widespread rerouting by carriers. Recent naval skirmishes and blockades have further discouraged passages, with only limited numbers of cargo ships, tankers, and other vessels recorded in early May. This sustained reduction in maritime traffic underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the lowest volume range for the end of the month, though any verified de-escalation or corridor agreement could alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$319,847วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing military tensions and naval restrictions in the Persian Gulf have sharply curtailed commercial vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026. Shipping data shows daily transits frequently in the single digits or lower, down from a pre-conflict average exceeding 100 vessels, due to Iranian warnings, U.S. interception efforts, and widespread rerouting by carriers. Recent naval skirmishes and blockades have further discouraged passages, with only limited numbers of cargo ships, tankers, and other vessels recorded in early May. This sustained reduction in maritime traffic underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the lowest volume range for the end of the month, though any verified de-escalation or corridor agreement could alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$319,847วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing military tensions and naval restrictions in the Persian Gulf have sharply curtailed commercial vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026. Shipping data shows daily transits frequently in the single digits or lower, down from a pre-conflict average exceeding 100 vessels, due to Iranian warnings, U.S. interception efforts, and widespread rerouting by carriers. Recent naval skirmishes and blockades have further discouraged passages, with only limited numbers of cargo ships, tankers, and other vessels recorded in early May. This sustained reduction in maritime traffic underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the lowest volume range for the end of the month, though any verified de-escalation or corridor agreement could alter the trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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