Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$69,597 ปริมาณ
$69,597 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$69,597 ปริมาณ
$69,597 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
37°F or below
$6,479 ปริมาณ
No
38-39°F
$2,982 ปริมาณ
No
40-41°F
$701 ปริมาณ
No
42-43°F
$2,150 ปริมาณ
No
44-45°F
$2,188 ปริมาณ
No
46-47°F
$2,198 ปริมาณ
No
48-49°F
$3,190 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$2,508 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$3,381 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$4,709 ปริมาณ
No
56°F or higher
$39,110 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,597วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,597วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย