National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 15 project highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for 86°F or higher at official stations like IAH or Hobby. A persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence, limiting cloud cover and enabling strong daytime heating from morning temperatures already in the mid-70s to low 80s; this aligns with May 15 normals of 87°F and recent model consensus showing no frontal intrusions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon marine layer onshore or enhanced sea-breeze mixing capping peaks at 84-85°F, with hourly observations and evening NWS updates providing final clarity before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on May 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 15?
86°F or higher 94%
84-85°F 6%
82-83°F 1.3%
80-81°F <1%
$12,964 ปริมาณ
$12,964 ปริมาณ
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86°F or higher
94%
86°F or higher 94%
84-85°F 6%
82-83°F 1.3%
80-81°F <1%
$12,964 ปริมาณ
$12,964 ปริมาณ
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86°F or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 15 project highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for 86°F or higher at official stations like IAH or Hobby. A persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence, limiting cloud cover and enabling strong daytime heating from morning temperatures already in the mid-70s to low 80s; this aligns with May 15 normals of 87°F and recent model consensus showing no frontal intrusions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon marine layer onshore or enhanced sea-breeze mixing capping peaks at 84-85°F, with hourly observations and evening NWS updates providing final clarity before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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