Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 13?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 13?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$391,434 ปริมาณ
$391,434 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$391,434 ปริมาณ
$391,434 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
21°C or below
$7,689 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$9,853 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$46,552 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$48,912 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$44,704 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$47,324 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C
$52,323 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$39,560 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$32,563 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$27,599 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$34,354 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$391,434วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$391,434วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย