Ongoing tensions stemming from the late February 2026 joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets triggered an immediate closure of Israeli airspace to civilian flights, with authorities citing missile and drone threats as the basis for the decision. Subsequent Iranian retaliation and regional escalations prompted extensions of these restrictions through April, including NOTAM updates and limited operations only for approved repatriation flights at Ben Gurion Airport. Recent announcements, such as Lufthansa Group's planned resumption of services in June following safety reviews, have signaled gradual easing amid stabilized conditions, while EASA warnings for the broader Middle East remain in effect into late May. Diplomatic signals, military postures from Iran and its proxies, and any fresh security incidents within the resolution window continue to shape assessments of further full closures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$880,833 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
May 31
31%
June 30
49%
$880,833 ปริมาณ
May 31
$377,568 ปริมาณ
31%
June 30
$8,017 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing tensions stemming from the late February 2026 joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets triggered an immediate closure of Israeli airspace to civilian flights, with authorities citing missile and drone threats as the basis for the decision. Subsequent Iranian retaliation and regional escalations prompted extensions of these restrictions through April, including NOTAM updates and limited operations only for approved repatriation flights at Ben Gurion Airport. Recent announcements, such as Lufthansa Group's planned resumption of services in June following safety reviews, have signaled gradual easing amid stabilized conditions, while EASA warnings for the broader Middle East remain in effect into late May. Diplomatic signals, military postures from Iran and its proxies, and any fresh security incidents within the resolution window continue to shape assessments of further full closures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$880,833วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing tensions stemming from the late February 2026 joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets triggered an immediate closure of Israeli airspace to civilian flights, with authorities citing missile and drone threats as the basis for the decision. Subsequent Iranian retaliation and regional escalations prompted extensions of these restrictions through April, including NOTAM updates and limited operations only for approved repatriation flights at Ben Gurion Airport. Recent announcements, such as Lufthansa Group's planned resumption of services in June following safety reviews, have signaled gradual easing amid stabilized conditions, while EASA warnings for the broader Middle East remain in effect into late May. Diplomatic signals, military postures from Iran and its proxies, and any fresh security incidents within the resolution window continue to shape assessments of further full closures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$880,833วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing tensions stemming from the late February 2026 joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets triggered an immediate closure of Israeli airspace to civilian flights, with authorities citing missile and drone threats as the basis for the decision. Subsequent Iranian retaliation and regional escalations prompted extensions of these restrictions through April, including NOTAM updates and limited operations only for approved repatriation flights at Ben Gurion Airport. Recent announcements, such as Lufthansa Group's planned resumption of services in June following safety reviews, have signaled gradual easing amid stabilized conditions, while EASA warnings for the broader Middle East remain in effect into late May. Diplomatic signals, military postures from Iran and its proxies, and any fresh security incidents within the resolution window continue to shape assessments of further full closures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย