Current forecast guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service points to peak temperatures around 32°C on May 18, with widespread afternoon thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating compared to earlier in the month. Model consensus shows modest suppression from moisture and reduced solar radiation, keeping most outcomes clustered between 31–33°C while the chance of 34°C or higher remains low absent a clear break in the showers. Recent observations confirm daily maxima near 33–34°C through mid-May, yet the approach of a moist equatorial regime has nudged trader-implied probabilities toward the 32°C bin as the most likely single outcome. Updated runs through the weekend will refine land-sea breeze interactions and rainfall timing, key variables that historically shift Singapore’s near-term maxima by 1–2°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Singapore on May 18?
32°C 36%
33°C 24%
31°C 22%
34°C or higher 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
22%
32°C
36%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
9%
32°C 36%
33°C 24%
31°C 22%
34°C or higher 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
22%
32°C
36%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSCurrent forecast guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service points to peak temperatures around 32°C on May 18, with widespread afternoon thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating compared to earlier in the month. Model consensus shows modest suppression from moisture and reduced solar radiation, keeping most outcomes clustered between 31–33°C while the chance of 34°C or higher remains low absent a clear break in the showers. Recent observations confirm daily maxima near 33–34°C through mid-May, yet the approach of a moist equatorial regime has nudged trader-implied probabilities toward the 32°C bin as the most likely single outcome. Updated runs through the weekend will refine land-sea breeze interactions and rainfall timing, key variables that historically shift Singapore’s near-term maxima by 1–2°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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