Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate that persistent cloud cover and high humidity associated with a low-pressure trough will limit nocturnal radiative cooling tonight, anchoring the minimum temperature at 23°C. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 24°C but trend slightly lower under overcast conditions. Recent model consensus and real-time observations reinforce this outcome, giving traders strong confidence in the 23°C resolution. Only an unexpected clear-sky window allowing greater heat loss could realistically push the recorded low below this threshold before official measurement concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
23°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$37,771 Vol.
$37,771 Vol.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$37,771 Vol.
$37,771 Vol.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$2,220 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$676 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,786 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,608 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,673 Vol.
100%
24°C
$6,962 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,376 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,219 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,619 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate that persistent cloud cover and high humidity associated with a low-pressure trough will limit nocturnal radiative cooling tonight, anchoring the minimum temperature at 23°C. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 24°C but trend slightly lower under overcast conditions. Recent model consensus and real-time observations reinforce this outcome, giving traders strong confidence in the 23°C resolution. Only an unexpected clear-sky window allowing greater heat loss could realistically push the recorded low below this threshold before official measurement concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$37,771Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate that persistent cloud cover and high humidity associated with a low-pressure trough will limit nocturnal radiative cooling tonight, anchoring the minimum temperature at 23°C. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 24°C but trend slightly lower under overcast conditions. Recent model consensus and real-time observations reinforce this outcome, giving traders strong confidence in the 23°C resolution. Only an unexpected clear-sky window allowing greater heat loss could realistically push the recorded low below this threshold before official measurement concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,771Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate that persistent cloud cover and high humidity associated with a low-pressure trough will limit nocturnal radiative cooling tonight, anchoring the minimum temperature at 23°C. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 24°C but trend slightly lower under overcast conditions. Recent model consensus and real-time observations reinforce this outcome, giving traders strong confidence in the 23°C resolution. Only an unexpected clear-sky window allowing greater heat loss could realistically push the recorded low below this threshold before official measurement concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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