Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a commanding lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 10 or more points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in most surveys conducted after party conventions, including Datafolha (52-33%) and Ipsos-Ipec (43-35%). Traders price this outcome at 67% amid Ciro’s broad coalition—including PL and União Brasil support—that expands his appeal beyond traditional PSDB voters, contrasted with Elmano’s narrower PT-aligned base. Security concerns, particularly the advance of criminal factions highlighted in the opening days of free electoral broadcasts, have amplified Ciro’s attacks on the incumbent’s record, while Elmano emphasizes governance achievements. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff October 25, minor candidates like Eduardo Girão register negligible support and do not alter the two-way dynamic reflected in current market pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 67%
Elmano de Freitas 34%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$196,521 Обс.
$196,521 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
67%
Elmano de Freitas
34%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 67%
Elmano de Freitas 34%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$196,521 Обс.
$196,521 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$92,101 Обс.
67%
Elmano de Freitas
$37,484 Обс.
34%
Eduardo Girão
$18,100 Обс.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$15,487 Обс.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$15,453 Обс.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$17,896 Обс.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a commanding lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 10 or more points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in most surveys conducted after party conventions, including Datafolha (52-33%) and Ipsos-Ipec (43-35%). Traders price this outcome at 67% amid Ciro’s broad coalition—including PL and União Brasil support—that expands his appeal beyond traditional PSDB voters, contrasted with Elmano’s narrower PT-aligned base. Security concerns, particularly the advance of criminal factions highlighted in the opening days of free electoral broadcasts, have amplified Ciro’s attacks on the incumbent’s record, while Elmano emphasizes governance achievements. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff October 25, minor candidates like Eduardo Girão register negligible support and do not alter the two-way dynamic reflected in current market pricing.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$196,521Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a commanding lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 10 or more points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in most surveys conducted after party conventions, including Datafolha (52-33%) and Ipsos-Ipec (43-35%). Traders price this outcome at 67% amid Ciro’s broad coalition—including PL and União Brasil support—that expands his appeal beyond traditional PSDB voters, contrasted with Elmano’s narrower PT-aligned base. Security concerns, particularly the advance of criminal factions highlighted in the opening days of free electoral broadcasts, have amplified Ciro’s attacks on the incumbent’s record, while Elmano emphasizes governance achievements. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff October 25, minor candidates like Eduardo Girão register negligible support and do not alter the two-way dynamic reflected in current market pricing.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$196,521Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a commanding lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 10 or more points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in most surveys conducted after party conventions, including Datafolha (52-33%) and Ipsos-Ipec (43-35%). Traders price this outcome at 67% amid Ciro’s broad coalition—including PL and União Brasil support—that expands his appeal beyond traditional PSDB voters, contrasted with Elmano’s narrower PT-aligned base. Security concerns, particularly the advance of criminal factions highlighted in the opening days of free electoral broadcasts, have amplified Ciro’s attacks on the incumbent’s record, while Elmano emphasizes governance achievements. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff October 25, minor candidates like Eduardo Girão register negligible support and do not alter the two-way dynamic reflected in current market pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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