Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
12°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$29,660 Обс.
$29,660 Обс.
May 14, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$29,660 Обс.
$29,660 Обс.
May 14, 2026
11°C or below
$12,191 Обс.
No
12°C
$3,672 Обс.
Yes
13°C
$1,812 Обс.
No
14°C
$2,810 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,198 Обс.
No
16°C
$1,156 Обс.
No
17°C
$3,908 Обс.
No
18°C
$805 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,011 Обс.
No
20°C
$735 Обс.
No
21°C or higher
$360 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$29,660Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$29,660Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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