Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott commands 94.5% trader consensus to win Vermont's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, driven by his sustained status as America's most popular governor per recent polls, history of dominant primary victories—including 69% in 2022—and early April circulation of petitions placing him on the ballot ahead of the May 28 filing deadline. Challenger John Rodgers trails at 14.2% despite collecting signatures, lacking momentum against Scott's incumbency advantage and cross-party appeal in the moderate-leaning state. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like a surprise Scott withdrawal, personal scandal, or late health issues could shift odds, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPhil Scott
95%
John Rodgers
4%
Phil Scott
95%
John Rodgers
4%
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott commands 94.5% trader consensus to win Vermont's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, driven by his sustained status as America's most popular governor per recent polls, history of dominant primary victories—including 69% in 2022—and early April circulation of petitions placing him on the ballot ahead of the May 28 filing deadline. Challenger John Rodgers trails at 14.2% despite collecting signatures, lacking momentum against Scott's incumbency advantage and cross-party appeal in the moderate-leaning state. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like a surprise Scott withdrawal, personal scandal, or late health issues could shift odds, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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