Washington's 5th congressional district held its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the filing deadline having passed in May. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner captured roughly 47 percent of the vote and advanced, joined by Democrat Carmela Conroy at approximately 21 percent. Independent Nate Powell finished third near 15 percent, while remaining Democratic and other candidates trailed further behind. These results set the general election matchup for November 3. Trader positioning in the primary-winner market reflects the consolidated support for the top two finishers under Washington's nonpartisan primary rules, alongside any remaining uncertainty around final certified tallies or write-in impacts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$11,931 Обс.

Kyle Ursey
No

David Womack
No

Michael Baumgartner
Yes

Ann Marie Danimus
No

Andrew Bartleson
No

Carmela Conroy
Yes

Kevin Fagan
No

Matthew Hayes
No

Bajun Mavalwalla
No

Nate Powell
No
$11,931 Обс.

Kyle Ursey
No

David Womack
No

Michael Baumgartner
Yes

Ann Marie Danimus
No

Andrew Bartleson
No

Carmela Conroy
Yes

Kevin Fagan
No

Matthew Hayes
No

Bajun Mavalwalla
No

Nate Powell
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Washington's 5th congressional district held its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the filing deadline having passed in May. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner captured roughly 47 percent of the vote and advanced, joined by Democrat Carmela Conroy at approximately 21 percent. Independent Nate Powell finished third near 15 percent, while remaining Democratic and other candidates trailed further behind. These results set the general election matchup for November 3. Trader positioning in the primary-winner market reflects the consolidated support for the top two finishers under Washington's nonpartisan primary rules, alongside any remaining uncertainty around final certified tallies or write-in impacts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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