Exiled Iranian opposition leader Reza Pahlavi, son of the last shah, reiterated his readiness to return to Iran for a post-regime transition in a May 12 Politico interview, echoing earlier 2026 statements amid calls for U.S. support against the Islamic Republic. Trader consensus prices his entry at just 3% by June 30 and 14% by December 31, reflecting the regime's resilience despite ongoing protests, international sanctions, and proxy conflicts. No verified diplomatic breakthroughs or internal collapses enable safe passage, with odds hinging on escalation signals or leadership vacuums; upcoming milestones like potential U.S. policy shifts under review could influence sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$18,106,530 Обс.
31 травня
<1%
30 червня
3%
31 грудня
13%
$18,106,530 Обс.
31 травня
<1%
30 червня
3%
31 грудня
13%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 3, 2026, 3:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Exiled Iranian opposition leader Reza Pahlavi, son of the last shah, reiterated his readiness to return to Iran for a post-regime transition in a May 12 Politico interview, echoing earlier 2026 statements amid calls for U.S. support against the Islamic Republic. Trader consensus prices his entry at just 3% by June 30 and 14% by December 31, reflecting the regime's resilience despite ongoing protests, international sanctions, and proxy conflicts. No verified diplomatic breakthroughs or internal collapses enable safe passage, with odds hinging on escalation signals or leadership vacuums; upcoming milestones like potential U.S. policy shifts under review could influence sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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