Trump's approval rating has hovered in the mid-30s percent range through much of 2026 amid sustained public concern over the U.S. conflict with Iran and its economic fallout. Recent polling averages place overall approval near 37-39 percent, with net ratings around -20 points, driven by low marks on inflation, gas prices, and foreign policy following repeated cycles of strikes, failed ceasefires, and disruptions to global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Economic sentiment has deteriorated further on cost-of-living pressures, while immigration ratings have also softened from earlier peaks. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any diplomatic breakthroughs on energy or regional tensions represent key near-term catalysts that could influence whether ratings rebound or remain constrained through year-end.