The strong trader consensus favoring no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 is driven by the limited scope of a recent Andes virus cluster linked to a cruise ship, with only about 10 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths reported to the WHO as of mid-May. Official assessments from the CDC and WHO emphasize that even this strain, the only hantavirus known for occasional person-to-person transmission, shows no evidence of efficient sustained spread, unlike respiratory pathogens that fuel pandemics. Historical U.S. surveillance data since 1993 indicate sporadic rodent-borne cases averaging under 30 annually, with no precedent for widespread human-to-human outbreaks. Ongoing 42-day monitoring of exposed individuals and continued epidemiological tracking through summer could provide further reassurance, though any unexpected mutation enhancing transmissibility remains a low-probability variable that traders are pricing in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年漢坦病毒大流行？
2026年漢坦病毒大流行？
是
$10,713,402 交易量
$10,713,402 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$10,713,402 交易量
$10,713,402 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The strong trader consensus favoring no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 is driven by the limited scope of a recent Andes virus cluster linked to a cruise ship, with only about 10 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths reported to the WHO as of mid-May. Official assessments from the CDC and WHO emphasize that even this strain, the only hantavirus known for occasional person-to-person transmission, shows no evidence of efficient sustained spread, unlike respiratory pathogens that fuel pandemics. Historical U.S. surveillance data since 1993 indicate sporadic rodent-borne cases averaging under 30 annually, with no precedent for widespread human-to-human outbreaks. Ongoing 42-day monitoring of exposed individuals and continued epidemiological tracking through summer could provide further reassurance, though any unexpected mutation enhancing transmissibility remains a low-probability variable that traders are pricing in.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
交易量
$10,713,402結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The strong trader consensus favoring no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 is driven by the limited scope of a recent Andes virus cluster linked to a cruise ship, with only about 10 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths reported to the WHO as of mid-May. Official assessments from the CDC and WHO emphasize that even this strain, the only hantavirus known for occasional person-to-person transmission, shows no evidence of efficient sustained spread, unlike respiratory pathogens that fuel pandemics. Historical U.S. surveillance data since 1993 indicate sporadic rodent-borne cases averaging under 30 annually, with no precedent for widespread human-to-human outbreaks. Ongoing 42-day monitoring of exposed individuals and continued epidemiological tracking through summer could provide further reassurance, though any unexpected mutation enhancing transmissibility remains a low-probability variable that traders are pricing in.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10,713,723結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The strong trader consensus favoring no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 is driven by the limited scope of a recent Andes virus cluster linked to a cruise ship, with only about 10 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths reported to the WHO as of mid-May. Official assessments from the CDC and WHO emphasize that even this strain, the only hantavirus known for occasional person-to-person transmission, shows no evidence of efficient sustained spread, unlike respiratory pathogens that fuel pandemics. Historical U.S. surveillance data since 1993 indicate sporadic rodent-borne cases averaging under 30 annually, with no precedent for widespread human-to-human outbreaks. Ongoing 42-day monitoring of exposed individuals and continued epidemiological tracking through summer could provide further reassurance, though any unexpected mutation enhancing transmissibility remains a low-probability variable that traders are pricing in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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