Official forecasts from China’s National Meteorological Centre project a Beijing maximum near 30°C on August 13 under widespread thunderstorms that suppress solar heating and promote cooling through evaporation and cloud cover. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, consistent with late-summer climatology when monsoon influences and convective activity typically cap highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. The near-certain market pricing on 30°C reflects this strong observational and model consensus backed by real capital. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly suppressed convection allowing clearer skies and stronger insolation, or a rapid shift in steering patterns that reduces moisture and rainfall, both of which remain low-probability based on current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日北京最高溫度？
8月13日北京最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$99,276 交易量
$99,276 交易量
2026-08-13
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
30°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$99,276 交易量
$99,276 交易量
2026-08-13
22°C或以下
$2,061 交易量
否
23°C
$880 交易量
否
24°C
$3,388 交易量
否
25°C
$3,638 交易量
否
26°C
$4,903 交易量
否
27°C
$5,796 交易量
否
28°C
$8,228 交易量
否
29°C
$19,676 交易量
否
30°C
$13,755 交易量
是
31°C
$11,587 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$25,363 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from China’s National Meteorological Centre project a Beijing maximum near 30°C on August 13 under widespread thunderstorms that suppress solar heating and promote cooling through evaporation and cloud cover. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, consistent with late-summer climatology when monsoon influences and convective activity typically cap highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. The near-certain market pricing on 30°C reflects this strong observational and model consensus backed by real capital. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly suppressed convection allowing clearer skies and stronger insolation, or a rapid shift in steering patterns that reduces moisture and rainfall, both of which remain low-probability based on current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$99,276結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from China’s National Meteorological Centre project a Beijing maximum near 30°C on August 13 under widespread thunderstorms that suppress solar heating and promote cooling through evaporation and cloud cover. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, consistent with late-summer climatology when monsoon influences and convective activity typically cap highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. The near-certain market pricing on 30°C reflects this strong observational and model consensus backed by real capital. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly suppressed convection allowing clearer skies and stronger insolation, or a rapid shift in steering patterns that reduces moisture and rainfall, both of which remain low-probability based on current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$99,276結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from China’s National Meteorological Centre project a Beijing maximum near 30°C on August 13 under widespread thunderstorms that suppress solar heating and promote cooling through evaporation and cloud cover. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, consistent with late-summer climatology when monsoon influences and convective activity typically cap highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. The near-certain market pricing on 30°C reflects this strong observational and model consensus backed by real capital. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly suppressed convection allowing clearer skies and stronger insolation, or a rapid shift in steering patterns that reduces moisture and rainfall, both of which remain low-probability based on current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions