**Buenos Aires is experiencing typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions on August 5, with official and model forecasts converging on a daily maximum near 16°C.** The city’s temperate climate, moderated by the adjacent Río de la Plata and Atlantic Ocean, produces mild winter highs averaging 15–17°C, rarely exceeding 20°C or dropping below 12°C without strong cold fronts. Recent model runs and surface observations show stable high pressure with light winds and no significant advection of warmer or colder air masses, keeping temperatures tightly clustered. Trader consensus reflected in the 59% probability for 16°C and 25.5% for 15°C aligns closely with this consensus forecast; any late-day warming from solar heating or minor model revisions could shift resolution between these two bins. Updated observations through the afternoon will determine the final peak before market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
16°C 59%
15°C 26%
17°C 16%
14°C <1%
$19,117 交易量
$19,117 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
26%
16°C
59%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
15°C 26%
17°C 16%
14°C <1%
$19,117 交易量
$19,117 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
26%
16°C
59%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Buenos Aires is experiencing typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions on August 5, with official and model forecasts converging on a daily maximum near 16°C.** The city’s temperate climate, moderated by the adjacent Río de la Plata and Atlantic Ocean, produces mild winter highs averaging 15–17°C, rarely exceeding 20°C or dropping below 12°C without strong cold fronts. Recent model runs and surface observations show stable high pressure with light winds and no significant advection of warmer or colder air masses, keeping temperatures tightly clustered. Trader consensus reflected in the 59% probability for 16°C and 25.5% for 15°C aligns closely with this consensus forecast; any late-day warming from solar heating or minor model revisions could shift resolution between these two bins. Updated observations through the afternoon will determine the final peak before market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions