Official meteorological records from South African Weather Service stations in Cape Town confirm a maximum temperature of 17°C on August 15, 2026, aligning with typical mid-winter conditions driven by the Benguela Current and prevailing westerly winds that suppress daytime warming. This measurement, taken at standard screen height under World Meteorological Organization guidelines, produced the strong market consensus at 100% implied probability. While sensor calibration issues or localized urban heat effects could theoretically alter readings, such discrepancies are rare for established stations and would require official revisions to shift the outcome. Updated daily summaries expected in coming days will provide final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月15日的最高溫度?
17°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$58,877 交易量
$58,877 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$58,877 交易量
$58,877 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological records from South African Weather Service stations in Cape Town confirm a maximum temperature of 17°C on August 15, 2026, aligning with typical mid-winter conditions driven by the Benguela Current and prevailing westerly winds that suppress daytime warming. This measurement, taken at standard screen height under World Meteorological Organization guidelines, produced the strong market consensus at 100% implied probability. While sensor calibration issues or localized urban heat effects could theoretically alter readings, such discrepancies are rare for established stations and would require official revisions to shift the outcome. Updated daily summaries expected in coming days will provide final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions