Strong consensus from official Chinese meteorological forecasts and international models places Jinan’s maximum temperature near 34°C on August 26 under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with observed highs the prior two days already reaching 34–35°C. This positions the probability of exceeding 26°C at 100% in trader consensus, reflecting real-time surface observations, ensemble model agreement, and climatological norms for late-August Shandong. Realistic challenges include localized heavy convective rainfall or unexpected cloud buildup that could suppress afternoon heating by several degrees, though current steering winds and dew-point profiles make substantial cooling unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日濟南氣溫最高？
8月26日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,955 交易量
$2,955 交易量
2026-08-26
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,955 交易量
$2,955 交易量
2026-08-26
16°C or below
$200 交易量
No
17°C
$190 交易量
No
18°C
$190 交易量
No
19°C
$190 交易量
No
20°C
$200 交易量
No
21°C
$110 交易量
No
22°C
$110 交易量
No
23°C
$190 交易量
No
24°C
$120 交易量
No
25°C
$235 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$1,220 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus from official Chinese meteorological forecasts and international models places Jinan’s maximum temperature near 34°C on August 26 under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with observed highs the prior two days already reaching 34–35°C. This positions the probability of exceeding 26°C at 100% in trader consensus, reflecting real-time surface observations, ensemble model agreement, and climatological norms for late-August Shandong. Realistic challenges include localized heavy convective rainfall or unexpected cloud buildup that could suppress afternoon heating by several degrees, though current steering winds and dew-point profiles make substantial cooling unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,955結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus from official Chinese meteorological forecasts and international models places Jinan’s maximum temperature near 34°C on August 26 under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with observed highs the prior two days already reaching 34–35°C. This positions the probability of exceeding 26°C at 100% in trader consensus, reflecting real-time surface observations, ensemble model agreement, and climatological norms for late-August Shandong. Realistic challenges include localized heavy convective rainfall or unexpected cloud buildup that could suppress afternoon heating by several degrees, though current steering winds and dew-point profiles make substantial cooling unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,955結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Strong consensus from official Chinese meteorological forecasts and international models places Jinan’s maximum temperature near 34°C on August 26 under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with observed highs the prior two days already reaching 34–35°C. This positions the probability of exceeding 26°C at 100% in trader consensus, reflecting real-time surface observations, ensemble model agreement, and climatological norms for late-August Shandong. Realistic challenges include localized heavy convective rainfall or unexpected cloud buildup that could suppress afternoon heating by several degrees, though current steering winds and dew-point profiles make substantial cooling unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions