Official forecasts from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a daily maximum of 36 °C or higher in Qingdao on August 5, driven by an active high-temperature event. The agency issued an orange warning citing expected maxima of 37–39 °C across northern Qingdao and adjacent areas through August 5, with localized peaks potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity. These projections align with real-time surface observations already reaching 36 °C and exceed typical August climatology of roughly 29–31 °C. Trader positioning reflects confidence in the model consensus and official thresholds used for verification. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated shift in steering flow or rapid marine-layer intrusion that suppresses the peak below 36 °C at the primary monitoring station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日青島氣溫最高?
36°C或以上 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,383 交易量
$34,383 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
100%
36°C或以上 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,383 交易量
$34,383 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a daily maximum of 36 °C or higher in Qingdao on August 5, driven by an active high-temperature event. The agency issued an orange warning citing expected maxima of 37–39 °C across northern Qingdao and adjacent areas through August 5, with localized peaks potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity. These projections align with real-time surface observations already reaching 36 °C and exceed typical August climatology of roughly 29–31 °C. Trader positioning reflects confidence in the model consensus and official thresholds used for verification. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated shift in steering flow or rapid marine-layer intrusion that suppresses the peak below 36 °C at the primary monitoring station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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