Recent high-temperature orange warnings across Shandong, including northern Qingdao districts, have sustained trader focus on 36–37°C outcomes for August 6. Regional models show persistent high pressure and light winds favoring daytime maxima of 34–38°C through early August, with some runs indicating brief peaks near 37°C before any coastal sea-breeze moderation. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, yet the current episode’s duration and humidity (50–80%) elevate the chance of exceeding 35°C. Close 36°C versus 37°C pricing reflects genuine forecast spread among ensemble members, particularly regarding exact timing of any onshore flow or minor cloud cover on the 6th; official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日青島氣溫最高?
36°C 42%
37°C 35%
35°C 14%
38°C或以上 11%
$11,929 交易量
$11,929 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
14%
36°C
42%
37°C
35%
38°C或以上
11%
36°C 42%
37°C 35%
35°C 14%
38°C或以上 11%
$11,929 交易量
$11,929 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
14%
36°C
42%
37°C
35%
38°C或以上
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-temperature orange warnings across Shandong, including northern Qingdao districts, have sustained trader focus on 36–37°C outcomes for August 6. Regional models show persistent high pressure and light winds favoring daytime maxima of 34–38°C through early August, with some runs indicating brief peaks near 37°C before any coastal sea-breeze moderation. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, yet the current episode’s duration and humidity (50–80%) elevate the chance of exceeding 35°C. Close 36°C versus 37°C pricing reflects genuine forecast spread among ensemble members, particularly regarding exact timing of any onshore flow or minor cloud cover on the 6th; official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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