Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日深圳最高溫度？
8月13日深圳最高溫度？
36°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$62,164 交易量
$62,164 交易量
2026-08-13
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
是
37°C
否
38°C或以上
否
36°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$62,164 交易量
$62,164 交易量
2026-08-13
28°C或以下
$1,387 交易量
否
29°C
$1,012 交易量
否
30°C
$837 交易量
否
31°C
$7,170 交易量
否
32°C
$4,899 交易量
否
33°C
$4,744 交易量
否
34°C
$8,482 交易量
否
35°C
$13,798 交易量
否
36°C
$7,308 交易量
是
37°C
$7,875 交易量
否
38°C或以上
$4,652 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$62,164結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$62,164結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions