Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate a daytime maximum near 36°C for Taipei on August 13 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover. This aligns with August climatology showing average highs of 32–34°C and supports the market's strong 96.5% implied probability for 36°C as the peak reading. Trader consensus reflects aggregated real-time data favoring this outcome over higher or lower thresholds. A shift in steering patterns bringing heavier afternoon convection or an earlier sea breeze could cap temperatures at 35°C or below, while clearer skies and reduced precipitation might allow brief spikes toward 37°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日臺北氣溫最高?
36°C 99.4%
38°C <1%
37°C <1%
39°C或以上 <1%
$31,396 交易量
$31,396 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
99%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
36°C 99.4%
38°C <1%
37°C <1%
39°C或以上 <1%
$31,396 交易量
$31,396 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
99%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate a daytime maximum near 36°C for Taipei on August 13 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover. This aligns with August climatology showing average highs of 32–34°C and supports the market's strong 96.5% implied probability for 36°C as the peak reading. Trader consensus reflects aggregated real-time data favoring this outcome over higher or lower thresholds. A shift in steering patterns bringing heavier afternoon convection or an earlier sea breeze could cap temperatures at 35°C or below, while clearer skies and reduced precipitation might allow brief spikes toward 37°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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