Official meteorological observations from the Israel Meteorological Service recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C in Tel Aviv on May 15, confirming the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This reading aligned with typical mid-May climatology for the coastal plain, where sea breezes and stable atmospheric conditions limited daytime warming below seasonal norms. Model runs from regional weather services showed minimal deviation in forecast highs throughout the prior 48 hours, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push values higher. While rare measurement revisions or microclimate anomalies at specific stations could theoretically alter the official tally, current data leave little scope for such shifts before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月15日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
25°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$39,284 交易量
$39,284 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$39,284 交易量
$39,284 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations from the Israel Meteorological Service recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C in Tel Aviv on May 15, confirming the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This reading aligned with typical mid-May climatology for the coastal plain, where sea breezes and stable atmospheric conditions limited daytime warming below seasonal norms. Model runs from regional weather services showed minimal deviation in forecast highs throughout the prior 48 hours, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push values higher. While rare measurement revisions or microclimate anomalies at specific stations could theoretically alter the official tally, current data leave little scope for such shifts before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions