Official observations from Environment Canada and Toronto-area weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on August 15, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with regional conditions featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, keeping highs near or below seasonal averages without significant advection of warmer air masses. Forecaster model consensus had anticipated similar values, and final verified data eliminated uncertainty around measurement thresholds or station discrepancies. While rare post-publication revisions could theoretically shift resolution, historical precedents show Environment Canada data as highly stable once released, reinforcing trader consensus backed by real capital at stake.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月15日多倫多氣溫最高？
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,486 交易量
$38,486 交易量
2026-08-15
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,486 交易量
$38,486 交易量
2026-08-15
19°C or below
$107 交易量
No
20°C
$99 交易量
No
21°C
$821 交易量
No
22°C
$1,001 交易量
No
23°C
$3,280 交易量
No
24°C
$9,458 交易量
Yes
25°C
$6,400 交易量
No
26°C
$11,040 交易量
No
27°C
$4,220 交易量
No
28°C
$1,840 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$221 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Environment Canada and Toronto-area weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on August 15, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with regional conditions featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, keeping highs near or below seasonal averages without significant advection of warmer air masses. Forecaster model consensus had anticipated similar values, and final verified data eliminated uncertainty around measurement thresholds or station discrepancies. While rare post-publication revisions could theoretically shift resolution, historical precedents show Environment Canada data as highly stable once released, reinforcing trader consensus backed by real capital at stake.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$38,486結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Environment Canada and Toronto-area weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on August 15, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with regional conditions featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, keeping highs near or below seasonal averages without significant advection of warmer air masses. Forecaster model consensus had anticipated similar values, and final verified data eliminated uncertainty around measurement thresholds or station discrepancies. While rare post-publication revisions could theoretically shift resolution, historical precedents show Environment Canada data as highly stable once released, reinforcing trader consensus backed by real capital at stake.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,486結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Environment Canada and Toronto-area weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on August 15, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with regional conditions featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, keeping highs near or below seasonal averages without significant advection of warmer air masses. Forecaster model consensus had anticipated similar values, and final verified data eliminated uncertainty around measurement thresholds or station discrepancies. While rare post-publication revisions could theoretically shift resolution, historical precedents show Environment Canada data as highly stable once released, reinforcing trader consensus backed by real capital at stake.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions