Current forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 13°C in Wellington on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light winds shifting southerly, and possible low cloud or showers that limit solar heating. This aligns with the city's August climatology of roughly 12°C average highs and recent model consensus showing stable cool maritime air rather than warmer northerly flows. Trader consensus reflected in the 13°C outcome at full implied probability incorporates these official guidance products, which carry high reliability for same-day resolution. Scenarios that could realistically shift the maximum include unexpected clearing allowing brief warming to 14°C or stronger southerlies dropping readings below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月14日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$66,149 交易量
$66,149 交易量
2026-08-14
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$66,149 交易量
$66,149 交易量
2026-08-14
8°C or below
$333 交易量
No
9°C
$526 交易量
No
10°C
$604 交易量
No
11°C
$1,302 交易量
No
12°C
$7,946 交易量
No
13°C
$13,800 交易量
Yes
14°C
$12,020 交易量
No
15°C
$8,058 交易量
No
16°C
$17,301 交易量
No
17°C
$3,799 交易量
No
18°C or higher
$461 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 13°C in Wellington on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light winds shifting southerly, and possible low cloud or showers that limit solar heating. This aligns with the city's August climatology of roughly 12°C average highs and recent model consensus showing stable cool maritime air rather than warmer northerly flows. Trader consensus reflected in the 13°C outcome at full implied probability incorporates these official guidance products, which carry high reliability for same-day resolution. Scenarios that could realistically shift the maximum include unexpected clearing allowing brief warming to 14°C or stronger southerlies dropping readings below the threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$66,149結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 13°C in Wellington on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light winds shifting southerly, and possible low cloud or showers that limit solar heating. This aligns with the city's August climatology of roughly 12°C average highs and recent model consensus showing stable cool maritime air rather than warmer northerly flows. Trader consensus reflected in the 13°C outcome at full implied probability incorporates these official guidance products, which carry high reliability for same-day resolution. Scenarios that could realistically shift the maximum include unexpected clearing allowing brief warming to 14°C or stronger southerlies dropping readings below the threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$66,149結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 13°C in Wellington on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light winds shifting southerly, and possible low cloud or showers that limit solar heating. This aligns with the city's August climatology of roughly 12°C average highs and recent model consensus showing stable cool maritime air rather than warmer northerly flows. Trader consensus reflected in the 13°C outcome at full implied probability incorporates these official guidance products, which carry high reliability for same-day resolution. Scenarios that could realistically shift the maximum include unexpected clearing allowing brief warming to 14°C or stronger southerlies dropping readings below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions